칠레 CDM 사업의 온실가스 감축비용 분석

노동운

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칠레 CDM 사업의 온실가스 감축비용 분석

Estimation of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Abatement Cost of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Activities in Chile

노동운

초록

The GHG emission abatement costs of clean development mechanism (CDM) projects are needed to forecast the abatement cost of the cooperative approaches and the sustainable mechanism of the Paris Agreement. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the GHG emission abatement cost of CDM projects in Chile using three kinds of investment analysis: simple cost analysis, investment comparison, and benchmark analysis. The average abatement cost of 53 CDM projects is $13.87/ tC O 2 (2020 p r i ce) . T h ecos t o f w in d p r o j ec t s i s t h e hi g h es t ($ 22.64/tCO2), followed by fuel switch ( $22.39/ tC O 2), bi o ma ss ($ 16.19/tCO2), PV16.17/tCO2), small hydro ( $11.33/ tC O 2), m e t han er eco v er y ($ 10.60/tCO2), and LFG ( $4.35/ tC O 2) . E co n o mi eso f sc a l e a r e a f a c t or in w in d, L F G an d m e t han e a v o i d an ce p r o j ec t s, w hi l e hi g h er in v es t m e n tl e a d s t o hi g h er aba t e m e n t cos t f or s ma l l h y d r o, P V, w in d an d bi o ma ss . E co n o mi eso f t im e a r e a f a c t or in L F G, an d w in d, L F G, an d s ma l l h y d r o a r e a f f ec t e d b y t ec hn o l o g y d e v e l o p m e n t . T h er e w a s a r e l a t i o n s hi p b e tw ee naba t e m e n t cos t an d s ha r eo f C D M a c t i v i t i es f or s ma l l h y d r o, bi o ma ss an df u e l s w i t c h . C os t - e f f ec t i v e mi t i g a t i o n s t r a t e g y i s t oco n s i d er p r o j ec t s w i t hhi g h er mi t i g a t i o n p o t e n t ia l a tt h es am e ma r g ina l aba t e m e n t cos t (M A C) . A cos t - e f f ec t i v es t r a t e g y a t a M A C o f$ 10-20/tCO2 is to consider LFG, wind/methane avoidance, PV, biomass, small hydro. The cost-effective strategy at a MAC of over $30/tCO2 is to consider wind, PV, biomass, small hydro.

제목: 칠레 CDM 사업의 온실가스 감축비용 분석

제목 (타언어): Estimation of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Abatement Cost of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Activities in Chile

저자: 노동운

발행일: 2021-10

유형: 정기학술지(Article(Perspective Article포함))

저널명: 한국기후변화학회지

권: 12

호: 5

페이지: 559 ~ 578