중국-파키스탄경제회랑(CPEC)의 국제정치

초록

The purpose of this study is to discuss the politico-economic and international context of the China-Pakistan economic corridor (CPEC) project and how it will affect China-India-Pakistan relations. The core meaning of CPEC in bilateral relations between China and Pakistan is that it has transformed a long-standing political, diplomatic, and military relations maintained for more than half a century into the multi-faceted strategic cooperation partnership with full-scale economic cooperation. These changes are expected to help secure the stability and sustainability of the China-Pakistan relations. The rivalry and confrontation in the Indian and South Asian regions between the US-led Indo-Pacific strategy and the China-Pakistan strategic partnership which is further strengthening by the CPEC would not necessarily lead to the cooling of China-India relations and the spiral of politico-military tensions. First, since there is an asymmetry of threat perception between China and India, it is unlikely that the 'security dilemma' between the hostile countries will be automatically activated; second, since India will reject the role of the frontline state for curbing China, and New Delhi has no intention of giving up its strategic autonomy in line with the strategic initiative of the United States and Japan. The impact of the CPEC on the China-India-Pakistani trilateral relations will be more complex, multi-faceted, and multi-layered.

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