유라시아경제연합과 실크로드경제벨트의 연결 가능성－경제협력의 기회와 장애－

초록

One of the important purposes of this paper is to examine the possibility of interaction between EAEU and SREB, and Russia and China, and to identify the potential and obstacles to the "connectivity" possibility of these two projects. Cooperation between EAEU and SREB is not only core condition for the success of the Eurasian Economic Union, but also a key to success of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. In particular, there are practical areas between the two initiatives to strengthen infrastructure and trade-related cooperation. The EAEU and the BRI, which are major influence-building projects in Russia and China, are focusing on the economic sector, but there are significant differences between the two. Russia is interested in building an exclusive sphere of influence in the post-Soviet space, and its goal is to strengthen its status as a great power. A key driver of these Russian projects is to achieve political superiority at the regional level. In comparison, China has adopted functionalist logic to focus on tangible economic achievements and increase its influence. A key element in the success of the cooperation between EAEU and SREB is the recognition of each other’s goals and jurisdictions while maintaining a low level of cooperation and expanding the areas and scope of possible cooperation. The link between EAEU and SREB can be found in Russia’s foreign policy goals and investigations of ‘return to East’, but this cannot be sufficient conditions for their cooperation. To practically advance cooperation between the two projects, it is to separate bilateral cooperation as much as possible from Russia’s foreign policy, which strongly advocates geopolitics. It is still hard to say for sure whether this can be achieved. In any event, the development of transport infrastructure across Eurasia could be severely limited if the cooperation between EAEU and SREB is not achieved.

키워드