공간모형의 활용을 통한 도시 특성과 도시 범죄 위험도 간의 영향관계 분석 : 서울시 전체범죄 및 성폭력을 중심으로

초록

Since measures required to secure safety differ according to a city’s environment and functions, it is necessary to develop crime prevention plans suitable for the characteristics of each urban environment. Accordingly, based on security rating data between 2018 and 2021 provided by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security's Life Safety Map, the spatial pattern of crime risk was identified, and factors affecting crime risk were derived. In this study, the 424 administrative dongs of Seoul were set as a spatial range, and the temporal range of independent variables was set as 2020. In the analysis, the degree of crime risk was visualized for each autonomous district of Seoul, and spatial autocorrelation was identified through Moran's I. Finally, influencing factors were derived using the spatial regression model, and regional influence relations were locally confirmed through the geographic multiple regression model. The analysis results confirmed that the number of entertainment facilities, security facilities, single-person households, and redevelopment and reconstruction factors affected the risk of crime. The analysis results are expected to provide policy implications for crime prevention measures in cities.

키워드