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초록
Water is naturally given so that water must be efficiently used. Hence, the effective water management policy is of paramount importance. One thing to note is that water management policy must be region-specific because quantity of water supply varies among regions and demand structure for water also different. It implies that the forecast of regional water demand must be based on the regional characteristics. The model developed in this paper is a recursive multi-region computable general equilibrium model to forecast regional water demands in Korea. The forecasting results for water demand imply that Korea will experience the water-shortage in most regions for years to come.
키워드
용수수요; 다지역 사회회계행렬; 동태적 다지역 연산일반균형 모형; water demand; multi-region SAM; recursive multi-region CGE model
- 제목
- 우리나라의 지역별 용수수요 예측에 관한 연구
- 제목 (타언어)
- Forecast of Regional Water Demand in Korea: A Recursive Multi-Region Water CGE Modeling Approach
- 저자
- 김홍배; 김재구
- 발행일
- 2010-03
- 저널명
- 지역연구
- 권
- 26
- 호
- 1
- 페이지
- 85 ~ 101