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COVID-19 판데믹 이후 오프라인 복합쇼핑몰 매출액 예측
- 임진빈;
- 임진빈;
- 이경태;
- 이경태;
- 김홍주;
- ... 김주형;
- 외 5명
초록
The purpose of this study was to forecast offline retail sales for analyze whether offline retail industry can overcome the impact ofCOVID-19 pandemic or not. The offline sales was forecast by using naive seasonal exponential smoothing and autoregressive integratedmoving average (ARIMA) models. To find more accurate forecasting model, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was evaluated. Toforecast offline complex shopping mall total sales, naive exponential smoothing model was chosen as most accurate forecasting model.Including forecasting of offline retail sales on 2022, annual retail sales was analyzed from 2018 to 2022. The result showed that offlineretail sales will be increase little bit more than offline sales on 2021, however, it is still more than 20% less than offline sales on 2018and 2019.
키워드
- 제목
- COVID-19 판데믹 이후 오프라인 복합쇼핑몰 매출액 예측
- 제목 (타언어)
- Forecasting of Offline Complex Shopping Mall Retail Sales after COVID-19 pandemic
- 저자
- 임진빈; 임진빈; 이경태; 이경태; 김홍주; 김홍주; 닌다르틴 아시니아; 닌다르틴 아시니아; 누르 노르하네; 누르 노르하네; 김주형
- 발행일
- 2022-10
- 유형
- Proceeding
- 저널명
- 2022년 대한건축학회 추계학술발표대회논문집
- 페이지
- 1060 ~ 1061