세종시 개발이 주변지역 및 수도권 인구이동에 미치는 영향 분석 - 인구이동(2006~2016) 자료를 활용한 변이할당 분석을 중심으로 -

초록

This study analyzes the impact of a new administrative city of Sejong on the population migration in the capital region and adjacent municipalities. We conduct origin-destination analyses with population migration data over the period of 2006-2016. This study uses both descriptive and shift-share analyses to examine the impact of Sejong city on population migration. Main findings of our study are as follows. Results show that the completion of Sejong City has marginally affected population decentralization in the capital region. Although there has been a positive net-migration from the capital region to Sejong City since its completion in 2012, population in the capital region has gradually grown between 2006 and 2016. At the same time, Sejong City has absorbed more population from its adjacent municipalities, which resulted in a significant decline of net-migration into the adjacent municipalities. Finally, this study discusses policy implications for adjacent municipalities that experienced population decrease after the establishment of Sejong City.

키워드