한국 지방정부 출산장려정책의 상향적 정책확산

초록

We simultaneously analyze bottom-up, top-down, and horizontal diffusions of pro-natalist policy and investigate the mechanisms of bottom-up diffusion. We examine the top-down diffusion from central government to provincials and the bottom-up diffusion from municipalities to central government by descriptive data analysis, and the bottom-up diffusion from municipalities to provincials and the horizontal diffusion among provincials by the Cox proportional hazard model, using panel data of provincial governments from 2007 to 2011. The results of descriptive analysis show that the pro-natalist policy is diffused from central government to provincials and from municipalities to central government. The Cox regression results provide evidence that the policy is diffused from municipalities to provincials and among provincials. The Cox regression results also show that the inequality in birth subsidy amounts among municipalities and the poor fiscal health of municipalities are the cause of the bottom-up diffusion from municipalities to provincials.

키워드